June rainfall

Weather Update, May 27: In a recent announcement, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted below-normal rainfall for the month of June. However, the department assures that the overall monsoon season will be normal across the country.

D Sivananda Pai, the Chief of IMD’s Environment Monitoring and Research Center (EMRC), stated that except for certain regions in south peninsular India, northwest India, extreme north India, and a few isolated pockets in northeast India, that is, most parts of the country can expect below normal rainfall in June. Conversely, these aforementioned areas are likely to experience above-normal rainfall thereafter.

Despite concerns over the onset of El Nino, which occurs due to the warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, Pai assured the public that the southwest monsoon season is expected to be normal this year. El Nino typically influences weather patterns and can have an impact on rainfall distribution.


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Pai further emphasized that the monsoon core zone, which comprises a significant portion of rain-fed agriculture areas in the country, is most likely to receive normal rainfall. This translates to a range of 94 to 106 percent of the long-period average, bringing a sense of relief to farmers and agricultural communities.

The IMD’s forecast holds importance for various sectors of the economy, particularly agriculture. Farmers rely heavily on monsoon rainfall for their crops, making accurate predictions essential for planning agricultural activities and managing water resources effectively.

While the below-normal rainfall prediction for June may raise concerns, it is important to note that monsoon predictions are subject to inherent uncertainties. The IMD continues to monitor weather patterns diligently, using advanced forecasting models and extensive data analysis to provide the most accurate information possible.

Citizens and authorities are advised to stay updated with the IMD’s forecasts and follow any relevant advisories or guidelines issued by the department. Timely awareness and preparedness can help mitigate the potential impacts of variations in rainfall patterns.

As the monsoon season approaches, the country eagerly awaits the arrival of the much-needed rains. The IMD’s forecast provides an initial glimpse into what can be expected in terms of rainfall distribution, enabling individuals and communities to make informed decisions and take appropriate actions.

The monsoon season plays a crucial role in the country’s overall socio-economic well-being, the IMD’s continuous efforts in weather monitoring and forecasting contribute significantly to disaster preparedness, agriculture, water resource management, and various other sectors that rely on accurate weather information.